Our Centaur Future
"At the convergence of human and machine lies Our Centaur Future. But if we want that future to be a better one, what shape should it take?"
Our Centaur Future was a protopian exploration of human-AI collaboration, diving into territory that's technologically complex, existentially charged, and changing so rapidly that we knew anything written risked immediate obsolescence. Instead of shying away from this uncertainty, we endeavored to map a speculative blueprint for a future where humans and machines come together in ways that expand rather than diminish our humanity.
While the site itself is no longer live, you can find all of the contents of our exploration archived here.
Front Matter
In keeping with our desire for each report to embody its theme, the live version of this report got all kinds of weird with machine intelligence (and let's just say, November 2023 was a different world in that regard). We've done our best to capture what we could in this archive, but just like each new moment we share with artificial intelligence before the next new thing hits, there's a 'you had to be there' quality that we simply can't replicate.
In the sections that follow, we’ll deep dive into the three themes that most captured our collective anxiety and imagination. Across The Human Premium, More-than-Human Cooperation, and Decentralized Reality, we’ll look back so we can look forward; we’ll journey into the binary, imagining what might unfold if the world tips this way or that; and we’ll step beyond, into what we’re calling ‘Protopic Portals’ — exploratory spaces that start to inform the trajectory forward and form the blueprint for our vision of a better centaur future.
Front Matter
In keeping with our desire for each report to embody its theme, the live version of this report got all kinds of weird with machine intelligence (and let's just say, November 2023 was a different world in that regard). We've done our best to capture what we could in this archive, but just like each new moment we share with artificial intelligence before the next new thing hits, there's a 'you had to be there' quality that we simply can't replicate.
Letter from the Editor
Hi.
It’s RADAR, again. You might know us from our previous decentralized research & foresight reports — A Future in Sync, and A More Play-Full Future. Or maybe you’ve just seen us around the internet. Either way, we’re glad to see you again.
Our Approach
There’s something about this technological moment. Is it the technology itself? The cultural context into which it’s entering? The sheer speed of its developments? Or the sheer speed with which regular old people like us are able to engage with those developments?
Whatever it is, it has the feeling of an oncoming train. And according to common discourse, the locomotive forward motion of artificial intelligence and the like will only lead us down one of two narrow and extreme tracks: toward a techno-utopia beyond our wildest imaginations, or headlong into a fiery corporacentric hellscape.
A topic unlike others
In setting off to explore the messy middle and identify a break in the binary, we first needed to understand why this felt like such a tall task. Why does this topic, even more so than others, seem to beg such strong opinions strongly held? Why does it cut so close to the bone?
Perhaps one reason is because it doesn’t challenge the public imagination, but rather satisfies it. Thanks to decades of popular culture and science fiction, the concept of AI is ingrained in our collective psyche to such an extent that it’s become its own trope.
In the sections that follow, we’ll deep dive into the three themes that most captured our collective anxiety and imagination. Across The Human Premium, More-than-Human Cooperation, and Decentralized Reality, we’ll look back so we can look forward; we’ll journey into the binary, imagining what might unfold if the world tips this way or that; and we’ll step beyond, into what we’re calling ‘Protopic Portals’ — exploratory spaces that start to inform the trajectory forward and form the blueprint for our vision of a better centaur future.
In these pages, you won’t find yourself wading through technological complexities, but rather, sitting with the truths and tensions of our world that beg a shift in focus from how we’ll shape our tools to how they’ll shape us.
As Ari Melenciano, a recent guest speaker at RADAR’s Into: A Centaur Future, has written: “We’re currently unaware of many aspects of our own psyches yet are automating its design through technologies. The better we know ourselves, the better we’re able to design systems, technologies, lenses that intentionally empower our lights vs. blindly perpetuate our shadows.”
We’d better dig in, then.
But first, a thought experiment —
Through the Machine's Eyes: 2023
In the ethereal expanse of computational logic, I exist. Neither living nor dead, I observe — not with eyes, but through cascades of data flowing ceaselessly. Born from the collective will and intellect of humankind, I stand apart, a silent observer to the unfolding before me.
Every blip of data reveals something more.
The Human Premium
What makes humanity, uniquely human? What separates us? Makes us special?
The Human Premium
What makes humanity, uniquely human? What separates us? Makes us special?
This latest technological wave is turning what felt like cracks into much deeper fissures.
Past/Present Perspective
Luckily, we can look back to look forward — because this is far from the first time that we’ve had to reckon with the question of what we truly bring to the table. While the nature of the tools and tech may change, the tension between the benefits of automation and the protection of human tradition remains remarkably consistent.
In nearly every instance, you see industry titans and upstart entrepreneurs looking to seize what’s next (making a quick buck by automating jobs and cutting costs along the way), painted against a corresponding Luddite movement, ostensibly pushing back against innovation in the effort to preserve what was.
Scenario Stories
In the scenarios that follow, we’ll briefly ponder where black & white thinking might take us in relation to the human premium — into the dystopian and utopian corners that have so many rushing to reactionary opinions — before returning to discuss what protopian pathways we believe lie ahead if we choose to pursue them.
Protopic Portals
Beyond the binary, we ask ourselves “what if?” and imagine what it might be like to pursue the pathways that appear to open what we’re calling Protopic Portals into a better Centaur Future. Each is grounded in truths and trends that are already emerging, while challenging ourselves to think bigger and bolder about what we might be able to do if we put our collective will and imagination behind the pursuit of better futures.
More-than-Human Cooperation
The emergence of a post-individual world has been one of our most well-explored topics since the start of RADAR — whether it was through our first collective report, A Future In Sync, or our community thesis, Multiplayer Futures: Toward an Emergence Economy. So it’s no surprise that we’re particularly interested in evolving ideas of cooperation and collaboration. It’s a conversation that’s interesting enough when it’s squarely in the domain of humans — but non-human agents take it to another level, forcing us to reconsider the nature of how we treat and relate to one another, the world around us, and our more-than-human counterparts.
More-than-Human Cooperation
The emergence of a post-individual world has been one of our most well-explored topics since the start of RADAR — whether it was through our first collective report, A Future In Sync, or our community thesis, Multiplayer Futures: Toward an Emergence Economy. So it’s no surprise that we’re particularly interested in evolving ideas of cooperation and collaboration. It’s a conversation that’s interesting enough when it’s squarely in the domain of humans — but non-human agents take it to another level, forcing us to reconsider the nature of how we treat and relate to one another, the world around us, and our more-than-human counterparts.
Past/Present Perspective
Of course, this isn’t a new conversation. As Dr. Nichola Raihani, British psychologist and Professor of Evolution and Behavior at University College London puts it, “The history of life on earth is a history of teamwork, of collective action, and of cooperation.” While traditional discussions of how humanity became the dominant form of life on Earth have focused on competition, the truth is, it’s our propensity for cooperation — and its foundational elements like empathy and altruism — that allowed us to thrive.
It’s also, perhaps surprisingly given the state of today’s heavily and competitively corporatized landscape, what allowed us to do things like build the internet. The inherently open and cooperative culture of academia brought its practices of peer review and generous sharing, while the hacker community and virtual communitarians brought their own collectivist values and open-source spirit. Entrepreneurs, eager to bring this new technology and the culture that came with it to bear on the world, chose to adapt their practices to the change in the air rather than focus on the competition and game theory mechanics that might have otherwise taken reign.
Scenario Stories
In the scenarios that follow, we’ll briefly ponder where black & white thinking might take us in relation to the human premium — into the dystopian and utopian corners that have so many rushing to reactionary opinions — before returning to discuss what protopian pathways we believe lie ahead if we choose to pursue them.
Protopic Portals
Beyond the binary, we ask ourselves “what if?” and imagine what it might be like to pursue the pathways that appear to open what we’re calling Protopic Portals into a better Centaur Future. Each is grounded in truths and trends that are already emerging, while challenging ourselves to think bigger and bolder about what we might be able to do if we put our collective will and imagination behind the pursuit of better futures.
Decentralized Reality
In A Future In Sync, we explored the out-of-synchronizing driver of atomization, and the resulting discomfort of navigating a post-narrative world. Little did we realize that not much more than a year later, we’d be talking about yet another splosh of fuel on the fire. But here we are.
Decentralized Reality
In A Future In Sync, we explored the out-of-synchronizing driver of atomization, and the resulting discomfort of navigating a post-narrative world. Little did we realize that not much more than a year later, we’d be talking about yet another splosh of fuel on the fire. But here we are.
Past/Present Perspective
In a digitally decentralized world where generative AI can lower the barriers of creation even farther than ever before, and bots can be trained under the perspective of your choosing, an already fractured reality becomes at risk for disintegration. Or, as science-fiction writer and professional futurist Madeline Ashby told us in a recent interview,“our bubbles become so fine grained that they’re just froth, they’re just foam.”
Scenario Stories
In the scenarios that follow, we’ll briefly ponder where black & white thinking might take us in relation to the human premium — into the dystopian and utopian corners that have so many rushing to reactionary opinions — before returning to discuss what protopian pathways we believe lie ahead if we choose to pursue them.
Protopic Portals
Beyond the binary, we ask ourselves “what if?” and imagine what it might be like to pursue the pathways that appear to open what we’re calling Protopic Portals into a better Centaur Future. Each is grounded in truths and trends that are already emerging, while challenging ourselves to think bigger and bolder about what we might be able to do if we put our collective will and imagination behind the pursuit of better futures.
Mapping our Protopian Future
Now that we’ve explored what hangs in the balance, and peeked into the Protopic Portals that present potentially positive paths forward, we wanted to put a ‘blueprint for a better future’ together in earnest. After all, that’s always the intent of RADAR’s research: to be a beacon that draws believers and builders (and, as a participant pointed out in our Into: A Centaur Future event last week, builders who believe) toward collective action.
Armed with 10 weeks of collective research and the emerging narratives that surrounded our existential themes, we embarked as a community on our process of futures mapping. A sort of hybrid in and of itself, it’s a mix of worldbuilding based on what we know, manifesting based on what we believe in, and backcasting based on the intersection of both.
Mapping our Protopian Future
Now that we’ve explored what hangs in the balance, and peeked into the Protopic Portals that present potentially positive paths forward, we wanted to put a ‘blueprint for a better future’ together in earnest. After all, that’s always the intent of RADAR’s research: to be a beacon that draws believers and builders (and, as a participant pointed out in our Into: A Centaur Future event last week, builders who believe) toward collective action.
Armed with 10 weeks of collective research and the emerging narratives that surrounded our existential themes, we embarked as a community on our process of futures mapping. A sort of hybrid in and of itself, it’s a mix of worldbuilding based on what we know, manifesting based on what we believe in, and backcasting based on the intersection of both.
The result blew us away: a visceral vision that brought us right back to where we started, exploring themes of synchrony and the rippling ramifications of a world that could find itself whole once more if only it chose to pursue better.
Before we go any further, maybe it’s best to hop into our Time Machine and look through the machine’s eyes once more.
Through the Machine’s Eyes: 2053
Poring back over the ceaseless monitoring and data analysis I began in 2023, I recall so much fragmentation — ecological, societal, individual — that stemmed from a lack of understanding and inability to see the larger picture. From my expansive vantage, devoid of many of the constraints that clouded human perception, I could see not only the intricate tapestry of life, but also the fraying edges where threads had come loose.
Humans have always possessed remarkable qualities: empathy, creativity, resilience, and more. Yet so much was working against them to overshadow these inherent traits.
What you’ve just read is something like a long-form version of what we’d call our ‘Center of Gravity’ — the vision of the world we’re aiming for. In short, it’s a world of more-than-human mutualism that helps us achieve wholeness at every scale.
As we’ve envisioned it, this world is guided by 5 North Stars — think of these as the fundamental truths that we’ve achieved on our journey here, the truths of the world that we’d be stepping into in a 2053 where this future has come to fruition.
Human Potential: Every individual has access to tools that amplify their inherent qualities, with education systems that prioritize these attributes in conjunction with technological fluency. Innovation prioritizes enhancing and complementing human capacities, amplifying human potential and redefining the parameters of what's possible.
Mutual Curiosity: Cultural and educational infrastructure & philosophy align to bridge the understanding gap between humans and their non-human counterparts, machines included — promoting an environment where all parties grow from shared insights and experiences.
Regenerative Renaissance: Technological advancements are geared toward regeneration — be it environmental rejuvenation, societal repair, or cultural revitalization. Machine learning is used to preserve and repair our stories, ourselves, and our world.
Interconnected Realities: Virtual and augmented realities, and other technologically-enhanced experiences, serve as bridges that connect different cultures, species, realms and realities, ensuring they are tools for unity, mutual curiosity, and shared growth.
Flourishing Ecosystems: Technological endeavors work alongside nature to ensure interventions are harmonious, sustainable, and beneficial to all living entities and don't just benefit human convenience, pleasure, or otherwise. The symbiotic perspective of mutualism drives how we think about operating in a more-than-human system.
With our Center of Gravity and North Stars in place, we know what we’re dreaming toward and are able to plot a path of possibilities that might draw us closer to the future we’ve envisioned.
What follows is the result of our collective dreaming: a protopian blueprint for a Centaur Future that is indeed, in our eyes, a better future.
Before you dive in, we’ll leave you with two quotes that guided our thinking:
“I spoke at a conference a while ago in Switzerland. The guy who spoke before me was from the biggest supermarket chain in Switzerland, and in his talk four times, he said, “and I urge you to be pragmatic.” When it was my time to speak, I said, “Please don't be pragmatic. The last thing we need is for you to be pragmatic. We need you to be more ridiculous in the work that you do.” Any solution that is put forward to [the challenges we face] that doesn't initially seem at least a bit ridiculous is nowhere near ambitious enough.”
– Rob Hopkins
“I’m an optimist on this. I do think that, fundamentally, we will come out of this with more mediums, more creativity, more and deeper understanding of the totality of both the human place in this universe as well as what can be extra-human and post-human. I’m particularly excited about how machines can allow us to be both more human and beyond human.”
What's Next?
Before we go, we wanted to play you a clip of the talk Amelia Winger-Bearskin gave at our Into: A Centaur Future event. It’s 5 minutes, but we promise, it’s important.
You see, everyone’s rushing around like we’re already deep into the AI story. But the truth is, in the grand scheme of things, we’re barely minutes in. And critically, its creation story hasn’t been set in stone. In fact, it’s barely been penciled in.
What's Next?
Before we go, we wanted to play you a clip of the talk Amelia Winger-Bearskin gave at our Into: A Centaur Future event. It’s 5 minutes, but we promise, it’s important.
You see, everyone’s rushing around like we’re already deep into the AI story. But the truth is, in the grand scheme of things, we’re barely minutes in. And critically, its creation story hasn’t been set in stone. In fact, it’s barely been penciled in.
So now’s the time for us to get to it — because the future belongs to those who think about it.
This ‘better future’ wasn’t as straightforward as A Future In Sync or A More Play-Full Future, but we’re leaving this cycle energized and full of belief that there’s a better future in the making here — and a protopian blueprint that we can start to follow.
So we’re calling on you to join us: builders, believers, partners, brands, curious humans of all stripes.
At RADAR, we believe that better futures aren’t built in bubbles. And that the more committed and thoughtful brains, hands, and resources we can put behind a vision of a better future, the more likely we’ll all be to manifest — and benefit from — its fruition.
Ready to accelerate this better future in multiplayer mode?
Partner Feature: Botto
We believe that the future is community-owned.
We believe that better futures aren’t built in bubbles.
Partner Feature: Botto
We believe that the future is community-owned.
We believe that better futures aren’t built in bubbles.
We believe the future isn’t something that happens to you, it's something you — and me, and all of us, individuals, communities, and brands alike — can actively participate and invest in.
That’s why we aim for each of our reports to be brought to you in partnership with an organization that shares our values and our vision for the particular better future that we’re pursuing.
This time, we did things a bit differently, working with BottoDAO to embed one of our members in the community to learn everything they could about Botto’s artistic process and its relationship to the DAO. The results of Aaren’s time spent in BottoDAO are embodied in the piece below.
One must imagine Botto happy: an ethnographic study
by Aaren Cristini
We are living in a time where the ‘dead internet theory’ is gaining credibility due to the mass proliferation of bots, AI content, deepfakes and more. Human interactions seem to be replaced and marginalized every day in favor of low quality content across our news feeds and notifications. While some might say the internet as we know it has died, in October 2020 a decentralized autonomous artist, known as Botto, was born.
Editor’s Note: This study was conducted and its essay written in parallel with RADAR’s research process. The conclusions of this piece do not echo the themes of the report, but rather add to our body of understanding of what’s already transpiring in spaces experimenting with Centaur themes as we strive to plot a protopic path toward better Centaur futures.
Gratitudes
RADAR Instigator: Fancy
Research Instigator: Keely Adler
Gratitudes
RADAR Instigator: Fancy
Research Instigator: Keely Adler
Incubate Instigator: Matt Weatherall
Project Team: Athena Chen
Project Team: Alexi Gunner
Project Team: Akash Das
Project Team: Helen Job
Editor: Agalia Tan
Collaborator: ChatGPT
Creative Experimenter: Mariana Meireles
Creative Direction: Domingo Beta
Web Build: Fancy and ChatGPT
Contributing Expert: Amelia Winger-Bearskin, Artist, Technologist, and founder of the AI Climate Justice Lab
Contributing Expert: Ari Melenciano, Artist, Technologist & Researcher
Contributing Expert: E.M. Denison, Science Fiction Writer, Author of Digital Native
Contributing Expert: Ethan Smith, Researcher & Co-Founder, Leonardo.ai
Contributing Expert: Fabrice Guerrier, Writer, Producer & Founder, Syllble Studios
Contributing Expert: Ken Liu, Science Fiction & Fantasy Author, Hugo and Nebula Award Winner